(CNN) — More than 6 in 10 of North Carolina primary voters say that they鈥檇 consider former President Donald Trump fit for the presidency if he鈥檚 convicted of a crime, according to the initial results of CNN鈥檚 exit poll of Republican primary voters in the state, with slightly over half of GOP primary voters in Virginia saying the same.
Roughly 4 in 10 primary voters in North Carolina describe themselves as part of the MAGA, or 鈥淢ake America Great Again,鈥� movement, compared to about one-third in Virginia. That鈥檚 below the 46% in Iowa鈥檚 caucuses who identified with the MAGA slogan. In South Carolina, about 41% of GOP primary voters described themselves as identifying with MAGA, with about one-third of New Hampshire GOP primary voters saying the same.
Roughly 6 in 10 North Carolina GOP primary voters baselessly deny that President Joe Biden鈥檚 2020 election win was legitimate, as do close to half of Virginia voters. Across all of the states of the GOP primary this year where entrance and exit polls have been conducted 鈥� including Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina 鈥� none has seen a majority of the GOP electorate willing to acknowledge the results of the 2020 election.
Exit polls are a valuable tool to help understand primary voters鈥� demographic profile and political views.聽Like all surveys, however, exit polls are estimates, not precise measurements of the electorate. That鈥檚 particularly true for the preliminary set of exit poll numbers, which haven鈥檛 yet been weighted to match the final results of the primaries. But the results provide a glimpse of the type of voters turning out to participate.
About three-quarters of North Carolina GOP primary voters and roughly 6 in 10 Virginia GOP primary voters say they鈥檇 be satisfied to see Trump win the nomination.
In North Carolina, nearly 8 in 10 call themselves conservative, and about 4 in 10 say they鈥檙e very conservative. In Virginia, about two-thirds call themselves conservative, with about 3 in 10 calling themselves very conservative.
That puts those states somewhere in the middle between Iowa鈥檚 presidential caucuses, in which about half of voters described themselves as very conservative, and New Hampshire鈥檚 primary, where only about one quarter did. South Carolina鈥檚 primary electorate also fell in聽between those two early states, with 40% calling themselves very conservative.
About 6 in 10 GOP primary voters in Virginia identify as Republicans, initial results of the exit poll show, with about 3 in 10 calling themselves independents or not identifying with either of the major parties. That鈥檚 a less Republican electorate than in Iowa or South Carolina, but more so than in New Hampshire, where just half identified as Republican. As in other GOP primaries, the majority of Virginia GOP voters 鈥� nearly 9 in 10 鈥� are White.
Most North Carolina and Virginia voters decided early on whom to back for president, according to the early exit polls. Nearly two-thirds of Virginia Republican primary voters say they made their decision before the year even started, with only about 16% saying they decided in the campaign鈥檚 final week. In North Carolina, about half of GOP primary voters made up their minds before 2024, with about one-fifth deciding in the final week.
The exit polls for North Carolina, Virginia and California鈥檚 Republican presidential primaries and California鈥檚 US Senate primary were conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Pool. The North Carolina Republican primary poll includes 1,758 interviews with Republican primary voters across 19 early in-person voting sites and 30 different polling places on Election Day, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points for the full sample.
The Virginia Republican primary poll includes 1,463 interviews with Republican primary voters across 30 different polling places on Election Day, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points for the full sample. The California Republican primary poll includes 588 interviews conducted prior to Election Day on February 25-March 3, using telephone, email and text messaging to reach respondents selected from the voter file, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points for the full sample. The California Senate primary poll includes 1,408 interviews conducted prior to Election Day on February 25-March 3, using telephone, email and text messaging to reach respondents selected from the voter file, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.0 percentage points for the full sample.
This story has been updated with additional information.
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